The Looming Backlash Against Telecommuting
Thursday, September 10, 2020
In City Journal appears "The Dark Side of Remote Work," by Hyon Chu, author of the serial Digital Agency. After briefly sketching how well all the remote staffing prompted by the pandemic has worked out for some companies, Chu issues an old warning with a technological twist:
While we're at it, think of all the jobs we'd have if we replaced backhoes with hand spades, or outlawed robots and jacked up tariffs to the point that Americans became competitive for unskilled factory labor!Covid-19 has provided the perfect context for large corporations to concentrate their power and resources. As businesses across the U.S. suffer economically from shutdown policies, larger firms have made financial gains. A sharp increase in unemployment has weakened the power of the labor force, and many industries are exchanging full-time, benefitted employees for as-needed contractors. Before we uncritically champion these new remote-work policies, we should proceed with caution. Many who currently dream of working remotely from the beaches of Thailand may find themselves replaced by a Thai contractor. [bold added]
Image by Tobias Tullius, via Unsplash, license.
To any company thinking of dumping most of its American office workers, I say, Please, go ahead and be the Guinea pig! Let me know how meetings go when most of the attendees aren't native speakers of English. Or how your brainstorming for an American market goes with people who have never stepped foot here.
This isn't to deny that some jobs (or parts of jobs) -- usually the ones that are very boring or require little skill -- go the way of the dodo when technology arrives. Rather, we should welcome any new means of freeing up time for people to do more interesting and fulfilling work. Nor is it to knock people who had to learn English as a second language or non-Americans, but to highlight a couple of the kinds of factors on top of training and experience that limit just how ... remote ... remote work can be.
My best guess is that, if governments can resist the urge to "fix" this non-problem, the same kinds of jobs -- like working in a boiler room -- few Americans would want anyway will be the ones to go overseas. This will make American goods cheaper for Americans by lowering costs for those companies, and it will provide opportunity for those who want it and may otherwise not have it. In other words, a win-win, as all trades are -- and a repeat of industrial history, only in non-manual labor.
What worries me, aside from the pessimism in the article sounding all-too-typical today, is the lip service to "labor" and the disparagement of contracting. These two cultural/political currents are already posing a mortal threat to independent contracting, as witness California's sickening AB-5 -- which threatens dreams and livelihoods alike, as well as the franchise business model -- and which the Democratic ticket wishes to make national policy.
Remote office work has its problems, but enabling more people to live where they want, or companies to lower costs aren't among them. The kinds of government responses we are likely to get if some complain enough will, from our experience with AB-5, be counterproductive, to say the very least.
-- CAV
2 comments:
I would also add, to paraphrase a quote who's origins I forget, that if you are in a job that can easily be taken by someone who is relatively uneducated, doesn't speak the language, and doesn't know the culture, you should really consider that you've screwed up badly somewhere. The original quote was in the context of a conversation about immigrants "stealing" American jobs: if you went through 12 years of required education and 4 years of university education, and are in a job that can be done better by a robot or an unskilled laborer, you've wasted your education.
One of the things an education is supposed to provide--particularly a liberal education--is the ability to adapt. Literature isn't taught because it teaches you to do a specific job, it's taught so that you can learn how to learn (as well as being valuable in its own right). The same with math and science. Unless you're an engineer, the Pythagorean Theorem and Kepler's laws aren't going to be applicable to your day-to-day life; the skills you develop while learning those, however, are. Most people spend their days doing things they never learned in schools--in today's world often because those skills didn't EXIST when we were in school. Knowing how to learn is the important part.
Cheap labor from Thailand may be able to do the specific job you're doing. What such sources of outsourced labor often lack is the ability to go beyond the concretes of the job.
That we live in the most technologically advanced and the most educated society in the history of the planet, yet most of our culture is oblivious to this, is deeply depressing and discouraging. That they choose self-imposed blockades (which is what any trade restriction in fact is) instead of learning is even more so.
"[I]f you went through 12 years of required education and 4 years of university education, and are in a job that can be done better by a robot or an unskilled laborer, you've wasted your education."
Yes.
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