A Tribalist's Perspective on Tribalism

Thursday, September 30, 2021

The headline of a recent piece at The American Thinker echoes a thought I have had more than once since the start of the pandemic: "Covid-19 Is the New Global Warming."

The piece does -- sort of -- capture this, from a harshly conservative point-of-view, taking conservative in its new, post-Trumpian, no-longer-capitalist sense.

For example:

Image by Bessie Pease Gutmann, via Wikimedia Commons, public domain.
Mask mandates. This has two distinct sides. On one side are those who believe that wearing masks is essential to protect public health and anyone who opposes that viewpoint is ignorant and a danger to society. The other side is more skeptical of masks, pointing out inconvenient little facts like that the typical mask opening is four times larger than the COVID-19 particle (500 nanometers to 125 nanometers), so wearing a mask is like trying to stop a swarm of mosquitoes with a chain-link fence, as that cliché goes. Mask mandates in the public sphere and for kids in school divide the electorate sharply along ideological lines.
Count me as being on neither of these irrational, funhouse-mirror-image-of-each-other "sides." (This is a great analogy, but not my own. I'm pretty sure I got this from the philosopher Greg Salmieri.)

Regulars here will know that I oppose mask mandates, but regard masks as offering some protection to wearer and others nearby alike. And don't get me started on that asinine "fence vs. mosquito" analogy, which is rehashed above. (Check the link: I'm not re-litigating that here.)

Analogously to the debate over fuel rationing disguised as a "climate" debate, I oppose fuel rationing, and yet acknowledge that some "lukewarming" of the climate is happening, with good and bad effects. So am I a Green or a "denialist?" I'll be accused of either, depending on which of the former you ask. This is despite the fact that one can oppose environmental legislation without denying that some warming is occurring. (And I would oppose current political proposals even if there were a looming catastrophe.) Likewise, I oppose lockdowns and mask mandates, but think masking can be helpful and that vaccination is a good idea. The limited role of government in all of this is detailed here.

So, yes. The fiercely-opposed sides that are both wrong in very important ways (and so hold self-contradictory viewpoints) make the debates over the pandemic and whatever they're calling energy rationing these days seem quite similar to each other.

But the greatest similarity, shared by both sides, as this outsider to both can see, is that neither seems capable of asking itself, "How do I know this?" This scientist has been called a "science denier" simply because I oppose the Green New Deal, and has gotten nowhere with an anti-vaxxer relative despite (for example) my point-by-point rebuttal of a viral video of a quack doctor speaking to an Indiana school board.

If you doubt me, try talking to someone firmly within either camp and see how little time it will take before you notice that what you are saying simply doesn't register. I have, and all I can say is that I hope these people are merely a vocal minority, for they seem unreachable by rational argument.

The most disturbing thing about both of these struggles is that so many people see the issue in terms of a binary political choice between two inconsistent grab-bag sets of positions -- and not as a problem to be approached like any other in one's life, and with a suspicious eye cast on government, whose role is only how best to protect one's freedom to do so.

-- CAV

2 comments:

Snedcat said...

Yo, Gus, the funny thing is that just yesterday or so I saw a perfect example of the converse, that science to the supposedly science-loving crowd doesn't mean critical thought. This puff piece, that Ducth trains are now powered by wind, was published by The Guardian back in 2017. If you read it critically, it's clear it's little more than a regurgitated press release. Natch, many publications picked up on it; many of the hits all go back either to the Guardian piece or the original press release. (I like how the Guardian included this correction, which didn't make it into some of them: "This article was amended on 11 January 2017. An earlier version said all Dutch trains were now 100% powered by wind-generated electricity, according to the national railway company NS. The company said all electric trains were now powered by wind energy." That's a big difference.) I myself only saw it because a supposedly scientifically minded friend on FB posted a meme spread by Neil deGrasse Tyson that said, "Dutch trains run entirely on wind energy," and then includes some of the press release factoids--so not even picking up on the Guardian's correction.

Of course, anyone not drunk on the mellows will immediately ask how you can operate a train reliably on intermittent energy. Well, I did manage to find one source that goes into the details in suitably critical fashion. (Note the bog-typical wind-power output graph for Belgium included there to see how the trains wouldn't run most of the time with just wind power.) Natch, the best you can say is that the contractor probably adds enough wind power (7.4 TWh in the Netherlands form wind sources, unsure how much from that contractor) to the grid, most of which is powered by reliable power sources, to power the trains (which use 1.2-1.4 TWh per year there). On the other hand, you also find that the figure for the power in the grid accounted as wind-power consumption (12.5TWh) indicates that 40% of the wind power in the Netherlands grid was imported, not produced in the country. So besides being a miracle of energy accounting much more than of technology, wind only manages to be useful because it's supported, as always in these cases, by a domestic production of roughly 100 TWh from reliable sources (predominantly natural gas, according to the figures there). The conclusion from that link: Putting these numbers together indicates that only 10-15% of the electricity consumed annually by NS’s electric trains will come from wind, with the rest a mixture that includes mostly Dutch gas and coal plus a small amount of Belgian and German coal, nuclear and lignite – and maybe even a little German solar.

Anyway, on a more amusing note, I ran across this article. A Danish museum gave an artist 534,000 kroner in bills to recreate old artworks. He gave the museum blank canvases, titled "Take the Money and Run." There are hints of legal action looming, but I hereby offer my services as an arbitrator for a mere 300,000 kroner. It'll be a masterpiece of performance art called "A Plague on Both Your Houses."

Gus Van Horn said...

He could plead that the blanks were his "recreation" of the old Woody Allen film of the same title. After all, if art is whatever someone says is art, who can argue?