Another Trump Casualty: The Electoral College?
Wednesday, May 06, 2026
From time to time, I have provided updates here on the progress of the National Popular Vote, a left-wing effort to effectively abolish the Electoral College via an interstate compact.
As of the last update, states with 196 total electoral votes had signed on, and as of the last mention here, that total had reached 209.
As of now, that total is 222, and, as Vox points out, there is a real chance that this year's midterms, fueled by widespread discontent with Donald Trump and his congressional Republican lapdogs, could cause the balance to tip over the decisive 270 electoral votes required to make the compact binding.
Assuming the agreement passes legal and constitutional muster, it would render the Electoral College moot:
Nearly every blue or leaning blue state has signed onto the compact, the most recent being Virginia last month -- and reformers [sic] now have states controlling 222 of the 270 electoral votes they need.As I have explained in the past, this compact is a bad idea, and I stand by that assessment as true in the long term, even if it might have the happy result of preempting another MAGA Presidency after Trump's term expires.
The decisive batch would be the core swing states where partisan control is up for grabs this fall. If Democrats win governing trifectas (the governorship and both state legislative chambers) in enough of them, they could very well cobble together the remaining 48 electoral votes, and actually put this into place for 2028. Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and New Hampshire are the top targets.
-- CAV
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