Three Election-Day Scenarios

The BBC considers how today's elections might turn out and offers three possible outcomes -- Democratic wave, Democratic trickle, and a good night for Republicans -- as well as why each could occur, based on polling data and its limitations.

More importantly, it offers early signs as the results come in for election-watchers who value their sleep.

I value my sleep even more than most and almost always skip the news entirely on election nights, and plan to do the same here.

Nevertheless, if I do end up hearing news while I'm up, I like the idea that I could have some idea of what's going on, so I'll note the respective sets of early signs here:

• Dem Wave

  If Democrats hold targeted House contests in Florida and win some Republican districts in North Carolina, Michigan, New York, Virginia and Kentucky. If they flip the Senate seat in South Carolina, it's going to be a good night for Democrats.

• Dem Trickle

  If Florida stays comfortably Republican across the board. If Democrats pick up some House seats in places like Virginia and Pennsylvania, but the Republican incumbents on more secure political ground across the country avoid getting washed away in a deluge.

• GOP Hold

  If Senators Ashley Moody in Florida and Jon Husted in Ohio cruise to re-election. If Republicans hold their own in House races in Pennsylvania and Virginia, and they flip current Democratic seats in North Carolina, Ohio and Florida.

For reasons I noted yesterday, the last of these possible results would be the worst: There would be nothing to stop the corrupt, traitorous Lunatic-in-Chief for the next two years; and his party will have been rewarded for its disgraceful subservience to one person over its duty to its country. Obviously, there would be no incentive for anyone in that party to reconsider that loyalty or the anti-freedom course that party has taken as a result.

The second would offer only the possibility that Congress might put the brakes on some of what Trump might want to do, but there would also be no reckoning within the GOP about Trump. (And, since The Democrats largely oppose Trump for the wrong reasons, they might conceivably stop only what little good Trump might still accomplish.)

The first result is what Trump and his supine party have put us into the position of wanting to occur.

-- CAV